How many of “us” are out there? I mean how many people doing modeling and simulation? I’d really like to know, ideally broken down by discipline, such as Materials Science vs Life Science, and quantum, classical and mesoscale.
Alas, there are preciously few statistics on that, so when I read in the Monthly Update (Feb 2010) of the Psi-k network that they conducted a study on size of the ab initio simulation community, it got my immediate attention.
Representing a network of people from the quantum mechanics field, Peter Dederichs, Volker Heine and colleagues Phivos Mavropoulos and Dirk Tunger from Research Center Jülich searched publications by keywords such as ‘ab initio’, and made sure not to double-count authors. In fact they tend to underestimate by assuming people with the same surname and first initial are the same. As Prof Dederichs, the chair of the network tells me, checks were also made to ensure that papers from completely different fields are not included. Also they estimate that their keyword range underestimates the number of papers by about 10%. Of course there are those that didn’t publish a paper in 2008, the year for which the study was done. Moreover, Dederichs says, there are those who published papers which don’t have proper keywords like “ab initio” or “first principles” in the abstract or title, so they are not found in the search. All of that is likely to compensate for counting co-authors that are not actually modelers.
All in all, they come up with about 23,000 people! And the number of publications in the field indicates a linear rise year on year.
That’s quite a lot more than they expected, and I agree. The global distribution was also surprising, with about 11,000 in Europe, about 5,600 in America, and 5,700 in East Asia (China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Singapore). That’s a lot of QM guys, especially here in Europe. Now, there will be a response from the US on that one I guess?
I wonder how many classical modelers there are. I’d hazard a guess that the number of classical modelers is about half those in the QM community, at least in the Materials Science field. Assuming that the mesoscale modeling community is quite small, that would make for a total of at least 30,000 modelers worldwide.
What is your view, or informed opinion? Anybody else knows about or has done some studies? I am going to open up a poll in the right sidebar on the number of people involved in quantum, classical and mesoscale modeling in total. It would be great to hear also how you came up with your selection.


